Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig: Prediction
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Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
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StuttgartLDLWL
RB LeipzigLLWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RB Leipzig | 7 | +6 | 12 |
| 2 | Stuttgart | 7 | 0 | 9 |
Head to head
- Stuttgart 1–0 RB Leipzig2026-03-15
- RB Leipzig 3–1 Stuttgart2025-11-01
Why the model leans Stuttgart
- Stuttgart rate higher on our strength scale (1517 vs 1472).
- Stuttgart are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- Head-to-head in our records: Stuttgart 1, RB Leipzig 1, draws 0.
- Expected goals from the model: Stuttgart 1.8, RB Leipzig 1.4.
Match preview
Stuttgart host RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on 15 May 2027. Stuttgart sit 9th on 9 points and RB Leipzig are 6th on 12. Stuttgart have won 1 of their last 5 (LDLWL), while RB Leipzig have won 2 of 5 (LLWWL). In their last 2 meetings, Stuttgart won 1, RB Leipzig won 1 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Stuttgart 47%, the draw 23% and RB Leipzig 30%, so Stuttgart are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
