Stuttgart vs Paderborn: Prediction
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Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
StuttgartLDLWL
PaderbornWLDWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stuttgart | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Paderborn | 7 | 0 | 9 |
Head to head
- Paderborn 0–2 Stuttgart2026-10-10
Why the model leans Stuttgart
- Stuttgart rate higher on our strength scale (1517 vs 1497).
- Stuttgart are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- Expected goals from the model: Stuttgart 2.0, Paderborn 1.2.
Match preview
Stuttgart host Paderborn in the Bundesliga on 20 February 2027. Stuttgart sit 9th on 9 points and Paderborn are 10th on 9. Stuttgart have won 1 of their last 5 (LDLWL), while Paderborn have won 2 of 5 (WLDWD). In their last 1 meetings, Stuttgart won 1, Paderborn won 0 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Stuttgart 57%, the draw 21% and Paderborn 22%, so Stuttgart are the slight favourites, with 2-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
