Stuttgart vs Mainz: Prediction
📍 MHP Arena
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- 41'⚽Nadiem Amiripenalty
- Pascal Stenzelyellow card45'
- ⚽Chris Führichassist Josha Vagnoman45'
- 59'Phillipp Mweneyellow card
- ⇄Nikolas Narteyon62'
- ⇄Pascal Stenzelon62'
- 63'Dominik Kohryellow card
- Finn Jeltschyellow card65'
- 67'⇄Benedict Hollerbachon
- 67'⇄Dominik Kohron
- ⇄Jamie Lewelingon72'
- ⇄Chris Führichon72'
- ⇄Dan-Axel Zagadouon75'
- Lorenz Assignonyellow card77'
- ⚽Deniz Undavassist Alexander Nübel79'
- 81'⇄Silvan Widmeron
- 87'⇄Jae-Sung Leeon
- 87'⇄Stefan Bellon
- Tiago Tomásyellow card90'
- 90'Nadiem Amiriyellow card
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 59%Possession41%
- 2Expected goals (xG)1
- 19Shots13
- 8Shots on target2
- 7Corners5
- 11Fouls12
- 3Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 5Offsides5
- 1Saves6
- 479Passes320
Line-ups
Stuttgart
- 23Dan-Axel Zagadou
- 33Alexander Nübel
- 4Josha Vagnoman
- 15Pascal Stenzel
- 10Chris Führich
- 28Nikolas Nartey
- 18Jamie Leweling
- 2Ameen Dakhil
- 26Deniz Undav
- 29Finn Jeltsch
- 30Chema Andrés
Mainz
- 31Dominik Kohr
- 16Stefan Bell
- 27Robin Zentner
- 21Danny da Costa
- 30Silvan Widmer
- 10Nadiem Amiri
- 2Phillipp Mwene
- 7Jae-Sung Lee
- 8Paul Nebel
- 17Benedict Hollerbach
- 6Kaishu Sano
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
StuttgartLWWWW
MainzLWLLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stuttgart | 32 | +21 | 58 |
| 2 | Mainz | 32 | -8 | 39 |
Head to head
- Mainz 2–2 Stuttgart2026-03-07
Match preview
Stuttgart host Mainz in the Bundesliga on 26 October 2025. Stuttgart sit 4th on 58 points and Mainz are 10th on 39. Stuttgart have won 4 of their last 5 (LWWWW), while Mainz have won 1 of 5 (LWLLL). In their last 1 meetings, Stuttgart won 0, Mainz won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
