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Kick-off · Matchday 6

Stuttgart vs Lille: Prediction

58%Home win

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score2-1
Expected goals (model)2.00 – 1.12
Team rating (Elo)1531 – 1459

Recent form

StuttgartWLDLW
LilleLDLDW
#TeamPGDPts

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Stuttgart host Lille in the UEFA Champions League on 9 December 2026. Stuttgart sit 15th on 7 points and Lille are 79th on 0. Stuttgart have won 2 of their last 5 (WLDLW), while Lille have won 1 of 5 (LDLDW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Stuttgart 58%, the draw 21% and Lille 21%, so Stuttgart are the slight favourites, with 2-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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