Stuttgart vs Hoffenheim: Prediction
📍 MHP Arena
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
StuttgartWLDLW
HoffenheimLLWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stuttgart | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Hoffenheim | 7 | -3 | 6 |
Head to head
- Hoffenheim 3–3 Stuttgart2026-05-02
- Stuttgart 0–0 Hoffenheim2025-12-20
Why the model leans Stuttgart
- Stuttgart rate higher on our strength scale (1531 vs 1501).
- Stuttgart are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- Head-to-head in our records: Stuttgart 0, Hoffenheim 0, draws 2.
- League table: Stuttgart #9, Hoffenheim #16.
- Expected goals from the model: Stuttgart 2.0, Hoffenheim 1.2.
Match preview
Stuttgart host Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga on 6 February 2027. Stuttgart sit 9th on 9 points and Hoffenheim are 16th on 6. Stuttgart have won 2 of their last 5 (WLDLW), while Hoffenheim have won 2 of 5 (LLWWL). In their last 2 meetings, Stuttgart won 0, Hoffenheim won 0 and 2 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Stuttgart 57%, the draw 21% and Hoffenheim 22%, so Stuttgart are the slight favourites, with 2-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
