Stuttgart vs Hamburg: Prediction
📍 MHP Arena
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
StuttgartLDLWL
HamburgWWWLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stuttgart | 7 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Hamburg | 7 | -7 | 9 |
Head to head
- Hamburg 1–0 Stuttgart2026-10-17
- Stuttgart 4–0 Hamburg2026-04-12
- Hamburg 2–1 Stuttgart2025-11-30
Why the model leans Stuttgart
- Stuttgart rate higher on our strength scale (1517 vs 1455).
- Stuttgart are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- Head-to-head in our records: Stuttgart 1, Hamburg 2, draws 0.
- Expected goals from the model: Stuttgart 2.2, Hamburg 1.1.
Match preview
Stuttgart host Hamburg in the Bundesliga on 27 February 2027. Stuttgart sit 9th on 9 points and Hamburg are 11th on 9. Stuttgart have won 1 of their last 5 (LDLWL), while Hamburg have won 3 of 5 (WWWLL). In their last 3 meetings, Stuttgart won 1, Hamburg won 2 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Stuttgart 63%, the draw 19% and Hamburg 18%, so Stuttgart are the slight favourites, with 2-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
