Stuttgart vs Hamburg: Prediction
📍 MHP Arena
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
5 goals- ⚽Angelo Stillerassist Jamie Leweling21'
- Chema Andrésyellow card24'
- ⚽Chris Führichassist Ermedin Demirović32'
- ⚽Maximilian Mittelstädtassist Chris Führich56'
- 60'⇄Albert Grønbækon
- 60'⇄Rayan Philippeon
- ⇄Ermedin Demirovićon70'
- ⇄Chris Führichon70'
- ⇄Chema Andréson70'
- 72'⇄Fábio Baldéon
- 72'⇄Daniel Elfadlion
- 80'Nicolás Capaldoyellow card
- Deniz Undavyellow card80'
- ⚽Deniz Undavpenalty82'
- ⚽Bilal El Khannousassist Tiago Tomás86'
- ⇄Lorenz Assignonon88'
- ⇄Deniz Undavon88'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 65%Possession35%
- 3.64Expected goals (xG)0.61
- 23Shots9
- 11Shots on target5
- 8Corners2
- 10Fouls14
- 2Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 5Offsides1
- 4Saves7
- 539Passes294
Line-ups
Stuttgart
- 33Alexander Nübel
- 9Ermedin Demirović
- 7Maximilian Mittelstädt
- 24Julian Chabot
- 10Chris Führich
- 18Jamie Leweling
- 6Angelo Stiller
- 3Ramon Hendriks
- 22Lorenz Assignon
- 26Deniz Undav
- 30Chema Andrés
Hamburg
- 25Jordan Torunarigha
- 14Rayan Philippe
- 23Albert Grønbæk
- 1Daniel Fernandes
- 20Fábio Vieira
- 17Warmed Omari
- 11Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer
- 2William Mikelbrencis
- 8Daniel Elfadli
- 21Nicolai Remberg
- 45Fábio Baldé
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | +21 | 58 | |
| 2 | 32 | -14 | 36 |
Head to head
- Hamburg 1–0 Stuttgart2026-10-17
- Hamburg 2–1 Stuttgart2025-11-30
Match preview
Stuttgart host Hamburg in the Bundesliga on 12 April 2026. Stuttgart sit 4th on 58 points and Hamburg are 11th on 36. Stuttgart have won 3 of their last 5 (WDWWL), while Hamburg have won 1 of 5 (LWDLD). In their last 2 meetings, Stuttgart won 0, Hamburg won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

