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FTMatchday 29

Stuttgart vs Hamburg: Prediction

📍 MHP Arena

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals
StuttgartHamburg
  1. Angelo Stillerassist Jamie Leweling21'
  2. Chema Andrésyellow card24'
  3. Chris Führichassist Ermedin Demirović32'
  4. Maximilian Mittelstädtassist Chris Führich56'
  5. 60'Albert Grønbækon
  6. 60'Rayan Philippeon
  7. Ermedin Demirovićon70'
  8. Chris Führichon70'
  9. Chema Andréson70'
  10. 72'Fábio Baldéon
  11. 72'Daniel Elfadlion
  12. 80'Nicolás Capaldoyellow card
  13. Deniz Undavyellow card80'
  14. Deniz Undavpenalty82'
  15. Bilal El Khannousassist Tiago Tomás86'
  16. Lorenz Assignonon88'
  17. Deniz Undavon88'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

StuttgartHamburg
  • 65%Possession35%
  • 3.64Expected goals (xG)0.61
  • 23Shots9
  • 11Shots on target5
  • 8Corners2
  • 10Fouls14
  • 2Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 5Offsides1
  • 4Saves7
  • 539Passes294

Line-ups

Stuttgart

  • 33Alexander Nübel
  • 9Ermedin Demirović
  • 7Maximilian Mittelstädt
  • 24Julian Chabot
  • 10Chris Führich
  • 18Jamie Leweling
  • 6Angelo Stiller
  • 3Ramon Hendriks
  • 22Lorenz Assignon
  • 26Deniz Undav
  • 30Chema Andrés

Hamburg

  • 25Jordan Torunarigha
  • 14Rayan Philippe
  • 23Albert Grønbæk
  • 1Daniel Fernandes
  • 20Fábio Vieira
  • 17Warmed Omari
  • 11Ransford-Yeboah Königsdörffer
  • 2William Mikelbrencis
  • 8Daniel Elfadli
  • 21Nicolai Remberg
  • 45Fábio Baldé

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1517 – 1455

Recent form

StuttgartWDWWL
HamburgLWDLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Stuttgart32+2158
2Hamburg32-1436

Head to head

  • Hamburg 1–0 Stuttgart2026-10-17
  • Hamburg 2–1 Stuttgart2025-11-30

Match preview

Stuttgart host Hamburg in the Bundesliga on 12 April 2026. Stuttgart sit 4th on 58 points and Hamburg are 11th on 36. Stuttgart have won 3 of their last 5 (WDWWL), while Hamburg have won 1 of 5 (LWDLD). In their last 2 meetings, Stuttgart won 0, Hamburg won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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