FTMatchday 20

Stuttgart vs Freiburg: Prediction

📍 MHP Arena

Stuttgart1

Freiburg0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal

StuttgartFreiburg

Atakan Karazoryellow card52'
53'Jan-Niklas Besteyellow card
Ramon Hendrikson59'
Nikolas Narteyon60'
68'Johan Manzambion
68'Jan-Niklas Besteon
76'Derry Scherhanton
76'Yuito Suzukion
Atakan Karazoron77'
Bilal El Khannouson77'
78'Philipp Treuon
Maximilian Mittelstädtyellow card90'
Ermedin Demirovićyellow card90'
Deniz Undavon90'
Ermedin Demirovićassist Deniz Undav90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

StuttgartFreiburg

70%Possession30%
1.62Expected goals (xG)0.70
18Shots11
7Shots on target2
6Corners2
14Fouls14
3Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
2Offsides1
2Saves5
513Passes227

Line-ups

Stuttgart

33Alexander Nübel
4Josha Vagnoman
24Julian Chabot
16Atakan Karazor
28Nikolas Nartey
18Jamie Leweling
6Angelo Stiller
3Ramon Hendriks
26Deniz Undav
11Bilal El Khannous
29Finn Jeltsch

Freiburg

28Matthias Ginter
8Maximilian Eggestein
19Jan-Niklas Beste
31Igor Matanovic
14Yuito Suzuki
7Derry Scherhant
1Noah Atubolu
33Jordy Makengo Basambundu
29Philipp Treu
37Maximilian Rosenfelder
44Johan Manzambi

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1517 – 1518

Recent form

StuttgartDWWDW

FreiburgWWLDW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Stuttgart	32	+21	58
2	Freiburg	32	-8	41

Head to head

Freiburg 3–1 Stuttgart2025-09-13

Match preview

Stuttgart host Freiburg in the Bundesliga on 1 February 2026. Stuttgart sit 4th on 58 points and Freiburg are 8th on 41. Stuttgart have won 3 of their last 5 (DWWDW), while Freiburg have won 3 of 5 (WWLDW). In their last 1 meetings, Stuttgart won 0, Freiburg won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.