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Kick-off · Matchday 29

Stuttgart vs Elversberg: Prediction

📍 MHP Arena

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.94 – 1.24
Team rating (Elo)1517 – 1519

Recent form

StuttgartLDLWL
ElversbergDLWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Elversberg7+113
2Stuttgart709

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Why the model leans Stuttgart

  • Stuttgart are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
  • League table: Stuttgart #9, Elversberg #5.
  • Expected goals from the model: Stuttgart 1.9, Elversberg 1.2.

Match preview

Stuttgart host Elversberg in the Bundesliga on 10 April 2027. Stuttgart sit 9th on 9 points and Elversberg are 5th on 13. Stuttgart have won 1 of their last 5 (LDLWL), while Elversberg have won 2 of 5 (DLWLW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Stuttgart 54%, the draw 22% and Elversberg 24%, so Stuttgart are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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