Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund: Prediction
📍 MHP Arena
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- 29'Carney Chukwuemekayellow card
- 64'⇄Sehrou Guirassyon
- 64'⇄Carney Chukwuemekaon
- Ramon Hendriksyellow card65'
- ⇄Chris Führichon69'
- 71'Marcel Sabitzeryellow card
- ⇄Lorenz Assignonon72'
- ⇄Nikolas Narteyon72'
- 72'⇄Maximilian Beieron
- 80'Karim Adeyemiyellow card
- ⇄Maximilian Mittelstädton88'
- ⇄Angelo Stilleron88'
- Atakan Karazoryellow card90'
- 90'Julian Ryersonyellow card
- 90'⚽Karim Adeyemi
- 90'⚽Julian Brandtassist Fábio Silva
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 67%Possession33%
- 0.58Expected goals (xG)0.50
- 13Shots5
- 3Shots on target3
- 5Corners2
- 10Fouls12
- 2Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards0
- 3Offsides0
- 1Saves3
- 613Passes303
Line-ups
Stuttgart
- 33Alexander Nübel
- 7Maximilian Mittelstädt
- 24Julian Chabot
- 16Atakan Karazor
- 10Chris Führich
- 28Nikolas Nartey
- 6Angelo Stiller
- 3Ramon Hendriks
- 22Lorenz Assignon
- 26Deniz Undav
- 29Finn Jeltsch
Borussia Dortmund
- 20Marcel Sabitzer
- 5Ramy Bensebaini
- 9Sehrou Guirassy
- 4Nico Schlotterbeck
- 26Julian Ryerson
- 1Gregor Kobel
- 3Waldemar Anton
- 24Daniel Svensson
- 14Maximilian Beier
- 17Carney Chukwuemeka
- 7Jobe Bellingham
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | +36 | 71 | |
| 2 | 32 | +21 | 58 |
Head to head
- Stuttgart 0–1 Borussia Dortmund2026-09-19
- Borussia Dortmund 3–3 Stuttgart2025-11-22
Match preview
Stuttgart host Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga on 4 April 2026. Stuttgart sit 4th on 58 points and Borussia Dortmund are 2nd on 71. Stuttgart have won 4 of their last 5 (WWDWW), while Borussia Dortmund have won 4 of 5 (WLWWW). In their last 2 meetings, Stuttgart won 0, Borussia Dortmund won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

