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FTMatchday 28

Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund: Prediction

📍 MHP Arena

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
StuttgartBorussia Dortmund
  1. 29'Carney Chukwuemekayellow card
  2. 64'Sehrou Guirassyon
  3. 64'Carney Chukwuemekaon
  4. Ramon Hendriksyellow card65'
  5. Chris Führichon69'
  6. 71'Marcel Sabitzeryellow card
  7. Lorenz Assignonon72'
  8. Nikolas Narteyon72'
  9. 72'Maximilian Beieron
  10. 80'Karim Adeyemiyellow card
  11. Maximilian Mittelstädton88'
  12. Angelo Stilleron88'
  13. Atakan Karazoryellow card90'
  14. 90'Julian Ryersonyellow card
  15. 90'Karim Adeyemi
  16. 90'Julian Brandtassist Fábio Silva

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

StuttgartBorussia Dortmund
  • 67%Possession33%
  • 0.58Expected goals (xG)0.50
  • 13Shots5
  • 3Shots on target3
  • 5Corners2
  • 10Fouls12
  • 2Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Offsides0
  • 1Saves3
  • 613Passes303

Line-ups

Stuttgart

  • 33Alexander Nübel
  • 7Maximilian Mittelstädt
  • 24Julian Chabot
  • 16Atakan Karazor
  • 10Chris Führich
  • 28Nikolas Nartey
  • 6Angelo Stiller
  • 3Ramon Hendriks
  • 22Lorenz Assignon
  • 26Deniz Undav
  • 29Finn Jeltsch

Borussia Dortmund

  • 20Marcel Sabitzer
  • 5Ramy Bensebaini
  • 9Sehrou Guirassy
  • 4Nico Schlotterbeck
  • 26Julian Ryerson
  • 1Gregor Kobel
  • 3Waldemar Anton
  • 24Daniel Svensson
  • 14Maximilian Beier
  • 17Carney Chukwuemeka
  • 7Jobe Bellingham

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1517 – 1538

Recent form

StuttgartWWDWW
Borussia DortmundWLWWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Borussia Dortmund32+3671
2Stuttgart32+2158

Head to head

  • Stuttgart 0–1 Borussia Dortmund2026-09-19
  • Borussia Dortmund 3–3 Stuttgart2025-11-22

Match preview

Stuttgart host Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga on 4 April 2026. Stuttgart sit 4th on 58 points and Borussia Dortmund are 2nd on 71. Stuttgart have won 4 of their last 5 (WWDWW), while Borussia Dortmund have won 4 of 5 (WLWWW). In their last 2 meetings, Stuttgart won 0, Borussia Dortmund won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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