Stuttgart vs Bayern Munich: Prediction
📍 MHP Arena
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
StuttgartWLDLW
Bayern MunichDWDWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 7 | +18 | 15 |
| 2 | Stuttgart | 7 | 0 | 9 |
Head to head
- Bayern Munich 5–1 Stuttgart2026-08-28
- Bayern Munich 4–2 Stuttgart2026-04-19
- Stuttgart 0–5 Bayern Munich2025-12-06
Why the model leans Bayern Munich
- Head-to-head in our records: Stuttgart 0, Bayern Munich 3, draws 0.
- League table: Stuttgart #9, Bayern Munich #1.
- Expected goals from the model: Stuttgart 1.3, Bayern Munich 1.8.
Match preview
Stuttgart host Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga on 23 January 2027. Stuttgart sit 9th on 9 points and Bayern Munich are 1st on 15. Stuttgart have won 2 of their last 5 (WLDLW), while Bayern Munich have won 2 of 5 (DWDWD). In their last 3 meetings, Stuttgart won 0, Bayern Munich won 3 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Stuttgart 28%, the draw 23% and Bayern Munich 49%, so Bayern Munich are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
