Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen: Prediction
📍 MHP Arena
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
StuttgartLDLWL
Bayer LeverkusenWWWLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | +2 | 12 |
| 2 | Stuttgart | 7 | 0 | 9 |
Head to head
- Bayer Leverkusen 2–4 Stuttgart2026-10-31
- Stuttgart 3–1 Bayer Leverkusen2026-05-09
- Bayer Leverkusen 1–4 Stuttgart2026-01-10
Why the model leans Stuttgart
- Stuttgart are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- Head-to-head in our records: Stuttgart 3, Bayer Leverkusen 0, draws 0.
- Expected goals from the model: Stuttgart 1.8, Bayer Leverkusen 1.3.
Match preview
Stuttgart host Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga on 6 March 2027. Stuttgart sit 9th on 9 points and Bayer Leverkusen are 7th on 12. Stuttgart have won 1 of their last 5 (LDLWL), while Bayer Leverkusen have won 3 of 5 (WWWLL). In their last 3 meetings, Stuttgart won 3, Bayer Leverkusen won 0 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Stuttgart 50%, the draw 23% and Bayer Leverkusen 27%, so Stuttgart are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
