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FTMatchday 2

Sturm Graz vs Heart of Midlothian: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1507 – 1468

Recent form

Sturm Graz–
Heart of Midlothian–
#TeamPGDPts
1Sturm Graz4+36
2Heart of Midlothian2-60

Head to head

  • Heart of Midlothian 0–2 Sturm Graz2026-07-28

Match preview

Sturm Graz host Heart of Midlothian in the UEFA Champions League on 21 July 2026. Sturm Graz sit 28th on 6 points and Heart of Midlothian are 80th on 0. In their last 1 meetings, Sturm Graz won 1, Heart of Midlothian won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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