Strasbourg vs Marseille: Prediction
📍 Stade de la Meinau
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- 24'Nayef Aguerdyellow card
- 27'Michael Murilloyellow card
- 38'Matt O'Rileyyellow card
- Emanuel Emeghayellow card45'
- 45'Leonardo Balerdiyellow card
- ⇄Kendry Páezon46'
- ⇄Félix Lemaréchalon46'
- ⚽Abdoul Ouattaraassist Emanuel Emegha49'
- 58'⇄Timothy Weahon
- 58'⇄Amine Gouirion
- 58'⇄Igor Paixãoon
- ⇄Emanuel Emeghaon62'
- Sam Amo-Ameyawyellow card66'
- 78'⚽Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
- ⇄Guéla Douéon85'
- ⇄Valentín Barcoon85'
- 85'⇄Matt O'Rileyon
- 85'⇄Facundo Axel Medinaon
- 90'⚽Michael Murillo
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 40%Possession60%
- 1Expected goals (xG)2
- 9Shots16
- 1Shots on target9
- 5Corners4
- 13Fouls15
- 2Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides1
- 7Saves0
- 393Passes588
Line-ups
Strasbourg
- 3Ben Chilwell
- 10Emanuel Emegha
- 6Ismaël Doukouré
- 80Félix Lemaréchal
- 23Mamadou Sarr
- 7Diego Moreira
- 22Guéla Doué
- 24Lucas Høgsberg
- 32Valentín Barco
- 16Kendry Páez
- 39Mike Penders
Marseille
- 23Pierre Hojbjerg
- 1Geronimo Rulli
- 22Timothy Weah
- 9Amine Gouiri
- 5Leonardo Balerdi
- 21Nayef Aguerd
- 8Angel Gomes
- 62Michael Murillo
- 32Facundo Axel Medina
- 17Matt O'Riley
- 14Igor Paixão
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +13 | 18 | |
| 2 | 9 | +6 | 16 |
Head to head
- Marseille 4–0 Strasbourg2026-08-21
Match preview
Strasbourg host Marseille in the Ligue 1 on 26 September 2025. Strasbourg sit 7th on 16 points and Marseille are 3rd on 18. Strasbourg have won 4 of their last 5 (WWLWW), while Marseille have won 3 of 5 (WLWLW). In their last 1 meetings, Strasbourg won 0, Marseille won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

