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Kick-off · Matchday 11

Strasbourg vs Brest: Prediction

Strasbourg
46%Home win
Brest

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.61 – 1.22
Team rating (Elo)1485 – 1485

Recent form

StrasbourgDLLLL
BrestLLWDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Brest8+29
2Strasbourg8-67

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Strasbourg host Brest in the Ligue 1 on 21 November 2026. Strasbourg sit 16th on 7 points and Brest are 13th on 9. Strasbourg have won 0 of their last 5 (DLLLL), while Brest have won 1 of 5 (LLWDL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Strasbourg 46%, the draw 25% and Brest 29%, so Strasbourg are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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