St Pauli vs Union Berlin: Prediction
📍 Millerntor-Stadion
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- Joel Fujitayellow card38'
- 44'⚽Rani Khediraassist Andrej Ilić
- 46'Rani Khedirayellow card
- ⇄Andréas Hountondjion64'
- ⇄Jackson Irvineon64'
- 65'⇄Andrej Ilićon
- ⇄Arkadiusz Pyrkaon73'
- 73'⇄Tom Rotheon
- 73'⇄Oliver Burkeon
- 73'⇄Aljoscha Kemleinon
- 82'⇄Ilyas Ansahon
- ⇄Mathias Pereira-Lageon87'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 59%Possession41%
- 1Expected goals (xG)0
- 12Shots8
- 3Shots on target3
- 8Corners2
- 10Fouls8
- 1Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 1Offsides2
- 2Saves2
- 567Passes405
Line-ups
St Pauli
- 7Jackson Irvine
- 28Mathias Pereira-Lage
- 5Hauke Wahl
- 8Eric Smith
- 16Joel Fujita
- 6James Sands
- 22Nikola Vasilj
- 11Arkadiusz Pyrka
- 3Karol Mets
- 27Andréas Hountondji
- 23Louis Oppie
Union Berlin
- 7Oliver Burke
- 8Rani Khedira
- 4Diogo Leite
- 5Danilho Doekhi
- 1Frederik Rønnow
- 28Christopher Trimmel
- 14Leopold Querfeld
- 15Tom Rothe
- 6Aljoscha Kemlein
- 10Ilyas Ansah
- 23Andrej Ilić
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
St PauliLLLLL
Union BerlinDLWLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Berlin | 32 | -15 | 35 |
| 2 | St Pauli | 32 | -31 | 23 |
Head to head
- Union Berlin 1–1 St Pauli2026-04-05
Match preview
St Pauli host Union Berlin in the Bundesliga on 23 November 2025. St Pauli sit 18th on 23 points and Union Berlin are 13th on 35. St Pauli have won 0 of their last 5 (LLLLL), while Union Berlin have won 1 of 5 (DLWLD). In their last 1 meetings, St Pauli won 0, Union Berlin won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
