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FTMatchday 21

St Pauli vs Stuttgart: Prediction

📍 Millerntor-Stadion

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
St PauliStuttgart
  1. Manolis Saliakasassist Arkadiusz Pyrka35'
  2. 46'Bilal El Khannouson
  3. Danel Sinanipenalty55'
  4. 57'Deniz Undavyellow card
  5. 69'Josha Vagnomanon
  6. 69'Chris Führichon
  7. 72'Ermedin Demirovićyellow card
  8. 85'Atakan Karazoron
  9. 85'Ermedin Demirovićon
  10. Arkadiusz Pyrkaon90'
  11. Martijn Kaarson90'
  12. 90'Jamie Lewelingassist Deniz Undav

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

St PauliStuttgart
  • 32%Possession68%
  • 1.77Expected goals (xG)0.88
  • 15Shots8
  • 7Shots on target3
  • 5Corners5
  • 9Fouls10
  • 0Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides2
  • 2Saves5
  • 305Passes659

Line-ups

St Pauli

  • 20Mathias Rasmussen
  • 7Jackson Irvine
  • 25Adam Dźwigała
  • 6James Sands
  • 22Nikola Vasilj
  • 10Danel Sinani
  • 11Arkadiusz Pyrka
  • 3Karol Mets
  • 2Manolis Saliakas
  • 19Martijn Kaars
  • 15Tomoya Ando

Stuttgart

  • 33Alexander Nübel
  • 9Ermedin Demirović
  • 4Josha Vagnoman
  • 7Maximilian Mittelstädt
  • 16Atakan Karazor
  • 10Chris Führich
  • 6Angelo Stiller
  • 3Ramon Hendriks
  • 26Deniz Undav
  • 11Bilal El Khannous
  • 29Finn Jeltsch

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1409 – 1517

Recent form

St PauliLLDDL
StuttgartWWDWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Stuttgart32+2158
2St Pauli32-3123

Head to head

  • Stuttgart 2–0 St Pauli2025-09-19

Match preview

St Pauli host Stuttgart in the Bundesliga on 7 February 2026. St Pauli sit 18th on 23 points and Stuttgart are 4th on 58. St Pauli have won 0 of their last 5 (LLDDL), while Stuttgart have won 4 of 5 (WWDWW). In their last 1 meetings, St Pauli won 0, Stuttgart won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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