St Pauli vs Stuttgart: Prediction
📍 Millerntor-Stadion
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- ⚽Manolis Saliakasassist Arkadiusz Pyrka35'
- 46'⇄Bilal El Khannouson
- ⚽Danel Sinanipenalty55'
- 57'Deniz Undavyellow card
- 69'⇄Josha Vagnomanon
- 69'⇄Chris Führichon
- 72'Ermedin Demirovićyellow card
- 85'⇄Atakan Karazoron
- 85'⇄Ermedin Demirovićon
- ⇄Arkadiusz Pyrkaon90'
- ⇄Martijn Kaarson90'
- 90'⚽Jamie Lewelingassist Deniz Undav
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 32%Possession68%
- 1.77Expected goals (xG)0.88
- 15Shots8
- 7Shots on target3
- 5Corners5
- 9Fouls10
- 0Yellow cards2
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides2
- 2Saves5
- 305Passes659
Line-ups
St Pauli
- 20Mathias Rasmussen
- 7Jackson Irvine
- 25Adam Dźwigała
- 6James Sands
- 22Nikola Vasilj
- 10Danel Sinani
- 11Arkadiusz Pyrka
- 3Karol Mets
- 2Manolis Saliakas
- 19Martijn Kaars
- 15Tomoya Ando
Stuttgart
- 33Alexander Nübel
- 9Ermedin Demirović
- 4Josha Vagnoman
- 7Maximilian Mittelstädt
- 16Atakan Karazor
- 10Chris Führich
- 6Angelo Stiller
- 3Ramon Hendriks
- 26Deniz Undav
- 11Bilal El Khannous
- 29Finn Jeltsch
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | +21 | 58 | |
| 2 | 32 | -31 | 23 |
Head to head
- Stuttgart 2–0 St Pauli2025-09-19
Match preview
St Pauli host Stuttgart in the Bundesliga on 7 February 2026. St Pauli sit 18th on 23 points and Stuttgart are 4th on 58. St Pauli have won 0 of their last 5 (LLDDL), while Stuttgart have won 4 of 5 (WWDWW). In their last 1 meetings, St Pauli won 0, Stuttgart won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

