St Pauli vs RB Leipzig: Prediction
📍 Millerntor-Stadion
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- 49'Christoph Baumgartneryellow card
- 64'⇄Rômulo Cardoso da Cruzon
- 66'⚽Yan Diomande
- ⇄Ricky-Jade Joneson67'
- ⇄Joel Fujitaon76'
- ⇄James Sandson76'
- ⇄Danel Sinanion76'
- 85'⇄Christoph Baumgartneron
- 85'⇄Antonio Nusaon
- ⇄Manolis Saliakason88'
- 90'⇄Yan Diomandeon
- ⚽Martijn Kaarspenalty90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 46%Possession54%
- 1.45Expected goals (xG)1.04
- 7Shots12
- 2Shots on target5
- 4Corners3
- 6Fouls8
- 0Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 5Offsides3
- 5Saves1
- 513Passes603
Line-ups
St Pauli
- 5Hauke Wahl
- 8Eric Smith
- 16Joel Fujita
- 6James Sands
- 22Nikola Vasilj
- 10Danel Sinani
- 11Arkadiusz Pyrka
- 26Ricky-Jade Jones
- 3Karol Mets
- 2Manolis Saliakas
- 15Tomoya Ando
RB Leipzig
- 1Peter Gulacsi
- 4Willi Orban
- 14Christoph Baumgartner
- 17Ridle Baku
- 24Xaver Schlager
- 22David Raum
- 13Nicolas Seiwald
- 5El Chadaille Bitshiabu
- 7Antonio Nusa
- 40Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz
- 49Yan Diomande
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
St PauliWDLLD
RB LeipzigLLWLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RB Leipzig | 32 | +21 | 64 |
| 2 | St Pauli | 32 | -31 | 23 |
Head to head
- RB Leipzig 2–1 St Pauli2026-05-09
Match preview
St Pauli host RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on 27 January 2026. St Pauli sit 18th on 23 points and RB Leipzig are 3rd on 64. St Pauli have won 1 of their last 5 (WDLLD), while RB Leipzig have won 2 of 5 (LLWLW). In their last 1 meetings, St Pauli won 0, RB Leipzig won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
