St Pauli vs Hoffenheim: Prediction
📍 Millerntor-Stadion
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- 43'Wouter Burgeryellow card
- 44'Albian Hajdariyellow card
- 54'⚽Bazoumana Touréassist Andrej Kramarić
- 59'⚽Andrej Kramarićassist Vladimír Coufal
- ⇄Mathias Pereira-Lageon63'
- ⇄Martijn Kaarson63'
- Adam Dźwigałayellow card67'
- 71'⇄Fisnik Asllanion
- ⇄Lars Ritzkaon75'
- ⇄Adam Dźwigałaon75'
- 76'⇄Bazoumana Touréon
- 76'⇄Andrej Kramarićon
- 79'⚽Grischa Prömelassist Wouter Burger
- ⇄Joel Fujitaon82'
- 86'⇄Albian Hajdarion
- 86'⇄Tim Lemperleon
- 87'Robin Hranáčyellow card
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 49%Possession51%
- 1Expected goals (xG)2
- 10Shots14
- 2Shots on target5
- 9Corners7
- 10Fouls17
- 1Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards0
- 4Offsides2
- 3Saves2
- 416Passes441
Line-ups
St Pauli
- 28Mathias Pereira-Lage
- 25Adam Dźwigała
- 8Eric Smith
- 16Joel Fujita
- 6James Sands
- 22Nikola Vasilj
- 10Danel Sinani
- 11Arkadiusz Pyrka
- 21Lars Ritzka
- 19Martijn Kaars
- 23Louis Oppie
Hoffenheim
- 1Oliver Baumann
- 27Andrej Kramarić
- 13Bernardo
- 34Vladimír Coufal
- 18Wouter Burger
- 19Tim Lemperle
- 11Fisnik Asllani
- 21Albian Hajdari
- 7Leon Avdullahu
- 2Robin Hranáč
- 29Bazoumana Touré
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | +11 | 57 | |
| 2 | 32 | -31 | 23 |
Head to head
- Hoffenheim 0–1 St Pauli2026-02-28
Match preview
St Pauli host Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga on 19 October 2025. St Pauli sit 18th on 23 points and Hoffenheim are 5th on 57. St Pauli have won 2 of their last 5 (WWLLL), while Hoffenheim have won 1 of 5 (LWLDL). In their last 1 meetings, St Pauli won 1, Hoffenheim won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

