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FTMatchday 7

St Pauli vs Hoffenheim: Prediction

📍 Millerntor-Stadion

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
St PauliHoffenheim
  1. 43'Wouter Burgeryellow card
  2. 44'Albian Hajdariyellow card
  3. 54'Bazoumana Touréassist Andrej Kramarić
  4. 59'Andrej Kramarićassist Vladimír Coufal
  5. Mathias Pereira-Lageon63'
  6. Martijn Kaarson63'
  7. Adam Dźwigałayellow card67'
  8. 71'Fisnik Asllanion
  9. Lars Ritzkaon75'
  10. Adam Dźwigałaon75'
  11. 76'Bazoumana Touréon
  12. 76'Andrej Kramarićon
  13. 79'Grischa Prömelassist Wouter Burger
  14. Joel Fujitaon82'
  15. 86'Albian Hajdarion
  16. 86'Tim Lemperleon
  17. 87'Robin Hranáčyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

St PauliHoffenheim
  • 49%Possession51%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)2
  • 10Shots14
  • 2Shots on target5
  • 9Corners7
  • 10Fouls17
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 4Offsides2
  • 3Saves2
  • 416Passes441

Line-ups

St Pauli

  • 28Mathias Pereira-Lage
  • 25Adam Dźwigała
  • 8Eric Smith
  • 16Joel Fujita
  • 6James Sands
  • 22Nikola Vasilj
  • 10Danel Sinani
  • 11Arkadiusz Pyrka
  • 21Lars Ritzka
  • 19Martijn Kaars
  • 23Louis Oppie

Hoffenheim

  • 1Oliver Baumann
  • 27Andrej Kramarić
  • 13Bernardo
  • 34Vladimír Coufal
  • 18Wouter Burger
  • 19Tim Lemperle
  • 11Fisnik Asllani
  • 21Albian Hajdari
  • 7Leon Avdullahu
  • 2Robin Hranáč
  • 29Bazoumana Touré

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1409 – 1501

Recent form

St PauliWWLLL
HoffenheimLWLDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Hoffenheim32+1157
2St Pauli32-3123

Head to head

  • Hoffenheim 0–1 St Pauli2026-02-28

Match preview

St Pauli host Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga on 19 October 2025. St Pauli sit 18th on 23 points and Hoffenheim are 5th on 57. St Pauli have won 2 of their last 5 (WWLLL), while Hoffenheim have won 1 of 5 (LWLDL). In their last 1 meetings, St Pauli won 1, Hoffenheim won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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