St Pauli vs FC Heidenheim: Prediction
📍 Millerntor-Stadion
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- James Sandsyellow card25'
- ⚽Martijn Kaarsassist Joel Fujita35'
- 42'Jan Schöppneryellow card
- Eric Smithred card45'
- ⇄Mathias Pereira-Lageon46'
- 46'⇄Thomas Kelleron
- 46'⇄Jan Schöppneron
- ⚽Martijn Kaarsassist Joel Fujita53'
- 64'⇄Tim Sierslebenon
- 64'⇄Adrian Beckon
- 64'⚽Marvin Pieringerassist Stefan Schimmer
- Arkadiusz Pyrkayellow card69'
- 73'Mikkel Kaufmannyellow card
- ⇄Martijn Kaarson76'
- 78'⇄Julian Niehueson
- 87'Marvin Pieringeryellow card
- ⇄Marvin Pieringeron90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 36%Possession64%
- 1Expected goals (xG)2
- 8Shots20
- 5Shots on target7
- 4Corners11
- 6Fouls15
- 2Yellow cards3
- 1Red cards0
- 0Offsides5
- 6Saves2
- 345Passes591
Line-ups
St Pauli
- 7Jackson Irvine
- 28Mathias Pereira-Lage
- 5Hauke Wahl
- 8Eric Smith
- 16Joel Fujita
- 6James Sands
- 22Nikola Vasilj
- 11Arkadiusz Pyrka
- 3Karol Mets
- 19Martijn Kaars
- 23Louis Oppie
FC Heidenheim
- 2Marnon Busch
- 19Jonas Föhrenbach
- 6Patrick Mainka
- 18Marvin Pieringer
- 3Jan Schöppner
- 4Tim Siersleben
- 41Diant Ramaj
- 16Julian Niehues
- 21Adrian Beck
- 27Thomas Keller
- 22Arijon Ibrahimović
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | -25 | 25 | |
| 2 | 32 | -31 | 23 |
Head to head
- FC Heidenheim 2–0 St Pauli2026-04-25
Match preview
St Pauli host FC Heidenheim in the Bundesliga on 13 December 2025. St Pauli sit 18th on 23 points and FC Heidenheim are 17th on 25. St Pauli have won 0 of their last 5 (LLLLD), while FC Heidenheim have won 2 of 5 (LDLWW). In their last 1 meetings, St Pauli won 0, FC Heidenheim won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

