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FTMatchday 14

St Pauli vs FC Heidenheim: Prediction

📍 Millerntor-Stadion

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
St PauliFC Heidenheim
  1. James Sandsyellow card25'
  2. Martijn Kaarsassist Joel Fujita35'
  3. 42'Jan Schöppneryellow card
  4. Eric Smithred card45'
  5. Mathias Pereira-Lageon46'
  6. 46'Thomas Kelleron
  7. 46'Jan Schöppneron
  8. Martijn Kaarsassist Joel Fujita53'
  9. 64'Tim Sierslebenon
  10. 64'Adrian Beckon
  11. 64'Marvin Pieringerassist Stefan Schimmer
  12. Arkadiusz Pyrkayellow card69'
  13. 73'Mikkel Kaufmannyellow card
  14. Martijn Kaarson76'
  15. 78'Julian Niehueson
  16. 87'Marvin Pieringeryellow card
  17. Marvin Pieringeron90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

St PauliFC Heidenheim
  • 36%Possession64%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)2
  • 8Shots20
  • 5Shots on target7
  • 4Corners11
  • 6Fouls15
  • 2Yellow cards3
  • 1Red cards0
  • 0Offsides5
  • 6Saves2
  • 345Passes591

Line-ups

St Pauli

  • 7Jackson Irvine
  • 28Mathias Pereira-Lage
  • 5Hauke Wahl
  • 8Eric Smith
  • 16Joel Fujita
  • 6James Sands
  • 22Nikola Vasilj
  • 11Arkadiusz Pyrka
  • 3Karol Mets
  • 19Martijn Kaars
  • 23Louis Oppie

FC Heidenheim

  • 2Marnon Busch
  • 19Jonas Föhrenbach
  • 6Patrick Mainka
  • 18Marvin Pieringer
  • 3Jan Schöppner
  • 4Tim Siersleben
  • 41Diant Ramaj
  • 16Julian Niehues
  • 21Adrian Beck
  • 27Thomas Keller
  • 22Arijon Ibrahimović

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1409 – 1433

Recent form

St PauliLLLLD
FC HeidenheimLDLWW
#TeamPGDPts
1FC Heidenheim32-2525
2St Pauli32-3123

Head to head

  • FC Heidenheim 2–0 St Pauli2026-04-25

Match preview

St Pauli host FC Heidenheim in the Bundesliga on 13 December 2025. St Pauli sit 18th on 23 points and FC Heidenheim are 17th on 25. St Pauli have won 0 of their last 5 (LLLLD), while FC Heidenheim have won 2 of 5 (LDLWW). In their last 1 meetings, St Pauli won 0, FC Heidenheim won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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