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FTMatchday 3

St Pauli vs Augsburg: Prediction

📍 Millerntor-Stadion

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
St PauliAugsburg
  1. 16'Fabian Riederassist Han-Noah Massengo
  2. Arkadiusz Pyrkayellow card36'
  3. 40'Elvis Rexhbeçajyellow card
  4. Andréas Hountondji45'
  5. 45'Kristijan Jakićon
  6. Andréas Hountondjion46'
  7. Arkadiusz Pyrkaon46'
  8. 63'Elias Saadyellow card
  9. 67'Chrislain Matsimayellow card
  10. 69'Marius Wolfon
  11. 69'Elias Saadon
  12. Adam Dźwigałaon75'
  13. 76'Robin Fellhaueryellow card
  14. Danel Sinani77'
  15. 84'Fabian Riederon
  16. 84'Han-Noah Massengoon
  17. Mathias Pereira-Lageon88'
  18. Danel Sinanion90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

St PauliAugsburg
  • 57%Possession43%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)1
  • 13Shots10
  • 7Shots on target5
  • 3Corners1
  • 10Fouls12
  • 1Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides3
  • 4Saves5
  • 545Passes418

Line-ups

St Pauli

  • 28Mathias Pereira-Lage
  • 5Hauke Wahl
  • 25Adam Dźwigała
  • 8Eric Smith
  • 16Joel Fujita
  • 6James Sands
  • 22Nikola Vasilj
  • 10Danel Sinani
  • 11Arkadiusz Pyrka
  • 27Andréas Hountondji
  • 23Louis Oppie

Augsburg

  • 6Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
  • 27Marius Wolf
  • 8Elvis Rexhbeçaj
  • 5Chrislain Matsima
  • 4Han-Noah Massengo
  • 1Finn Dahmen
  • 17Kristijan Jakić
  • 16Cédric Zesiger
  • 32Fabian Rieder
  • 26Elias Saad
  • 36Mert Kömür

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1409 – 1487

Recent form

St PauliDW
AugsburgWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Augsburg32-1640
2St Pauli32-3123

Head to head

  • Augsburg 2–1 St Pauli2026-01-31

Match preview

St Pauli host Augsburg in the Bundesliga on 14 September 2025. St Pauli sit 18th on 23 points and Augsburg are 9th on 40. St Pauli have won 1 of their last 2 (DW), while Augsburg have won 1 of 2 (WL). In their last 1 meetings, St Pauli won 0, Augsburg won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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