St Pauli vs Borussia Dortmund: Prediction
📍 Millerntor-Stadion
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
7 goals- Adam Dźwigałayellow card22'
- 26'Ramy Bensebainiyellow card
- 34'⚽Sehrou Guirassyassist Marcel Sabitzer
- Eric Smithyellow card37'
- 39'⚽Sehrou Guirassypenalty
- 46'⇄Karim Adeyemion
- 46'⇄Jobe Bellinghamon
- ⚽Andréas Hountondjiassist Danel Sinani50'
- 65'Yan Coutoyellow card
- 67'⚽Waldemar Antonassist Felix Nmecha
- ⇄Andréas Hountondjion68'
- 74'⚽Julian Brandtassist Pascal Groß
- ⇄Adam Dźwigałaon77'
- ⇄Arkadiusz Pyrkaon77'
- 85'Filippo Manéred card
- ⚽Danel Sinanipenalty86'
- ⇄James Sandson87'
- 87'⇄Pascal Großon
- ⚽Eric Smithassist Manolis Saliakas89'
- 90'Marcel Sabitzeryellow card
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 51%Possession49%
- 1Expected goals (xG)1
- 11Shots8
- 7Shots on target7
- 5Corners2
- 13Fouls12
- 2Yellow cards3
- 0Red cards1
- 4Offsides3
- 4Saves4
- 482Passes482
Line-ups
St Pauli
- 28Mathias Pereira-Lage
- 5Hauke Wahl
- 25Adam Dźwigała
- 8Eric Smith
- 16Joel Fujita
- 6James Sands
- 22Nikola Vasilj
- 10Danel Sinani
- 11Arkadiusz Pyrka
- 27Andréas Hountondji
- 23Louis Oppie
Borussia Dortmund
- 13Pascal Groß
- 20Marcel Sabitzer
- 5Ramy Bensebaini
- 9Sehrou Guirassy
- 27Karim Adeyemi
- 1Gregor Kobel
- 3Waldemar Anton
- 24Daniel Svensson
- 2Yan Couto
- 7Jobe Bellingham
- 39Filippo Mané
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
St Pauli–
Borussia Dortmund–| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 32 | +36 | 71 |
| 2 | St Pauli | 32 | -31 | 23 |
Head to head
- Borussia Dortmund 3–2 St Pauli2026-01-17
Match preview
St Pauli host Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga on 23 August 2025. St Pauli sit 18th on 23 points and Borussia Dortmund are 2nd on 71. In their last 1 meetings, St Pauli won 0, Borussia Dortmund won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
