St Pauli vs Bayer Leverkusen: Prediction
📍 Millerntor-Stadion
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- 21'Jarell Quansahyellow card
- 25'⚽Edmond Tapsoba
- ⚽Hauke Wahl32'
- 46'⇄Robert Andrichon
- Joel Fujitayellow card50'
- 56'⇄Eliesse Ben Seghiron
- 56'⇄Axel Tapeon
- 58'⚽Ernest Pokuassist Alex Grimaldo
- 60'Lucas Vazquezyellow card
- ⇄Lars Ritzkaon68'
- ⇄Andréas Hountondjion68'
- 75'⇄Malik Tillmanon
- ⇄Joel Fujitaon80'
- ⇄Mathias Pereira-Lageon81'
- Eric Smithyellow card86'
- ⇄Manolis Saliakason87'
- 89'⇄Patrik Schickon
- Abdoulie Ceesayyellow card90'
- 90'Christian Kofaneyellow card
- 90'Loïc Badéyellow card
- 90'Ezequiel Fernándezyellow card
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 49%Possession51%
- 1Expected goals (xG)1
- 13Shots5
- 6Shots on target4
- 13Corners1
- 13Fouls11
- 3Yellow cards5
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides0
- 2Saves4
- 447Passes490
Line-ups
St Pauli
- 28Mathias Pereira-Lage
- 5Hauke Wahl
- 8Eric Smith
- 16Joel Fujita
- 6James Sands
- 22Nikola Vasilj
- 10Danel Sinani
- 21Lars Ritzka
- 2Manolis Saliakas
- 27Andréas Hountondji
- 23Louis Oppie
Bayer Leverkusen
- 20Alex Grimaldo
- 14Patrik Schick
- 1Mark Flekken
- 8Robert Andrich
- 12Edmond Tapsoba
- 5Loïc Badé
- 24Aleix García
- 10Malik Tillman
- 17Eliesse Ben Seghir
- 4Jarell Quansah
- 16Axel Tape
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
St PauliDWWL
Bayer LeverkusenLDWDD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayer Leverkusen | 32 | +16 | 56 |
| 2 | St Pauli | 32 | -31 | 23 |
Head to head
- Bayer Leverkusen 4–0 St Pauli2026-02-14
Match preview
St Pauli host Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga on 27 September 2025. St Pauli sit 18th on 23 points and Bayer Leverkusen are 6th on 56. St Pauli have won 2 of their last 4 (DWWL), while Bayer Leverkusen have won 1 of 5 (LDWDD). In their last 1 meetings, St Pauli won 0, Bayer Leverkusen won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
