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FTMatchday 3

Sparta Prague vs Lyon: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1493 – 1507

Recent form

Sparta Prague–
LyonWWLLW
#TeamPGDPts
2Sparta Prague2-23

Head to head

  • Lyon 3–0 Sparta Prague2026-08-11

Match preview

Sparta Prague host Lyon in the UEFA Champions League on 4 August 2026. Sparta Prague sit 54th on 3 points and Lyon are 43rd on 3. In their last 1 meetings, Sparta Prague won 0, Lyon won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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