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Kick-off · Matchday 5

Slavia Prague vs Villarreal: Prediction

Slavia Prague
46%Home win
Villarreal

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.69 – 1.33
Team rating (Elo)1461 – 1468

Recent form

Slavia PragueLDLLD
VillarrealWDLWL
#TeamPGDPts
2Slavia Prague3-31

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Slavia Prague host Villarreal in the UEFA Champions League on 25 November 2026. Slavia Prague sit 69th on 1 points and Villarreal are 44th on 3. Slavia Prague have won 0 of their last 5 (LDLLD), while Villarreal have won 2 of 5 (WDLWL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Slavia Prague 46%, the draw 24% and Villarreal 30%, so Slavia Prague are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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