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Kick-off · Matchday 5

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Fenerbahçe: Prediction

Shakhtar Donetsk
46%Home win
Fenerbahçe

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.71 – 1.32
Team rating (Elo)1506 – 1510

Recent form

Shakhtar DonetskDWL
FenerbahçeWWDLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Fenerbahçe7-212
2Shakhtar Donetsk3+14

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Shakhtar Donetsk host Fenerbahçe in the UEFA Champions League on 25 November 2026. Shakhtar Donetsk sit 39th on 4 points and Fenerbahçe are 3rd on 12. Shakhtar Donetsk have won 1 of their last 3 (DWL), while Fenerbahçe have won 2 of 5 (WWDLD). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Shakhtar Donetsk 46%, the draw 24% and Fenerbahçe 30%, so Shakhtar Donetsk are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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