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FTMatchday 37

Sevilla vs Real Madrid: Prediction

📍 Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
SevillaReal Madrid
  1. 15'Vinícius Júnior
  2. Nemanja Gudeljyellow card48'
  3. Neal Maupayon53'
  4. Ruben Vargason54'
  5. Nemanja Gudeljon54'
  6. José Ángel Carmonaon70'
  7. 70'Aurélien Tchouaménion
  8. 70'Thiago Pitarchon
  9. 77'Brahimon
  10. 77'Vinícius Júnioron
  11. Osoon78'
  12. Alexis Sánchezyellow card80'
  13. Juanluyellow card84'
  14. 87'Jude Bellinghamon
  15. Lucien Agouméyellow card90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

SevillaReal Madrid
  • 41%Possession59%
  • 0.73Expected goals (xG)1.03
  • 14Shots12
  • 6Shots on target1
  • 4Corners4
  • 18Fouls12
  • 4Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides3
  • 1Saves6
  • 355Passes528

Line-ups

Sevilla

  • 17Neal Maupay
  • 1Odisseas Vlachodimos
  • 11Ruben Vargas
  • 20Djibril Sow
  • 6Nemanja Gudelj
  • 12Gabriel Suazo
  • 2José Ángel Carmona
  • 4Kike Salas
  • 9Akor Adams
  • 32Andrés Castrín
  • 36Oso

Real Madrid

  • 1Thibaut Courtois
  • 2Daniel Carvajal
  • 22Antonio Rudiger
  • 7Vinícius Júnior
  • 21Brahim
  • 10Kylian Mbappé
  • 14Aurélien Tchouaméni
  • 5Jude Bellingham
  • 20Fran García
  • 24Dean Huijsen
  • 45Thiago Pitarch

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1468 – 1567

Recent form

SevillaLLWWW
Real MadridWDWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Real Madrid35+4082
2Sevilla35-1242

Head to head

  • Real Madrid 4–1 Sevilla2026-10-18
  • Real Madrid 2–0 Sevilla2025-12-20

Match preview

Sevilla host Real Madrid in the La Liga on 17 May 2026. Sevilla sit 11th on 42 points and Real Madrid are 2nd on 82. Sevilla have won 3 of their last 5 (LLWWW), while Real Madrid have won 3 of 5 (WDWLW). In their last 2 meetings, Sevilla won 0, Real Madrid won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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