Sevilla vs Real Madrid: Prediction
📍 Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- 15'⚽Vinícius Júnior
- Nemanja Gudeljyellow card48'
- ⇄Neal Maupayon53'
- ⇄Ruben Vargason54'
- ⇄Nemanja Gudeljon54'
- ⇄José Ángel Carmonaon70'
- 70'⇄Aurélien Tchouaménion
- 70'⇄Thiago Pitarchon
- 77'⇄Brahimon
- 77'⇄Vinícius Júnioron
- ⇄Osoon78'
- Alexis Sánchezyellow card80'
- Juanluyellow card84'
- 87'⇄Jude Bellinghamon
- Lucien Agouméyellow card90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 41%Possession59%
- 0.73Expected goals (xG)1.03
- 14Shots12
- 6Shots on target1
- 4Corners4
- 18Fouls12
- 4Yellow cards0
- 0Red cards0
- 1Offsides3
- 1Saves6
- 355Passes528
Line-ups
Sevilla
- 17Neal Maupay
- 1Odisseas Vlachodimos
- 11Ruben Vargas
- 20Djibril Sow
- 6Nemanja Gudelj
- 12Gabriel Suazo
- 2José Ángel Carmona
- 4Kike Salas
- 9Akor Adams
- 32Andrés Castrín
- 36Oso
Real Madrid
- 1Thibaut Courtois
- 2Daniel Carvajal
- 22Antonio Rudiger
- 7Vinícius Júnior
- 21Brahim
- 10Kylian Mbappé
- 14Aurélien Tchouaméni
- 5Jude Bellingham
- 20Fran García
- 24Dean Huijsen
- 45Thiago Pitarch
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | +40 | 82 | |
| 2 | 35 | -12 | 42 |
Head to head
- Real Madrid 4–1 Sevilla2026-10-18
- Real Madrid 2–0 Sevilla2025-12-20
Match preview
Sevilla host Real Madrid in the La Liga on 17 May 2026. Sevilla sit 11th on 42 points and Real Madrid are 2nd on 82. Sevilla have won 3 of their last 5 (LLWWW), while Real Madrid have won 3 of 5 (WDWLW). In their last 2 meetings, Sevilla won 0, Real Madrid won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

