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FTMatchday 27

Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano: Prediction

📍 Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
SevillaRayo Vallecano
  1. Nemanja Gudeljyellow card2'
  2. Akor Adamsassist César Azpilicueta13'
  3. 50'Alfonso Espinoassist Fran Pérez
  4. 58'Jorge de Frutoson
  5. 59'Fran Pérezyellow card
  6. César Azpilicuetaon59'
  7. 65'Florian Lejeuneyellow card
  8. Akor Adamson67'
  9. 67'Carlos Martínon
  10. 67'Gerard Gumbauon
  11. Alexis Sánchezon68'
  12. Djibril Sowon84'
  13. 85'Andrei Rațiuyellow card
  14. 86'Isi Palazónon
  15. 86'Fran Pérezon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

SevillaRayo Vallecano
  • 42%Possession58%
  • 1.05Expected goals (xG)0.31
  • 11Shots9
  • 2Shots on target2
  • 6Corners2
  • 13Fouls15
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides0
  • 1Saves1
  • 284Passes396

Line-ups

Sevilla

  • 10Alexis Sánchez
  • 3César Azpilicueta
  • 1Odisseas Vlachodimos
  • 20Djibril Sow
  • 18Lucien Agoumé
  • 6Nemanja Gudelj
  • 5Tanguy Nianzou
  • 16Juanlu
  • 4Kike Salas
  • 9Akor Adams
  • 36Oso

Rayo Vallecano

  • 24Florian Lejeune
  • 15Gerard Gumbau
  • 22Alfonso Espino
  • 19Jorge de Frutos
  • 2Andrei Rațiu
  • 7Isi Palazón
  • 23Óscar Valentín
  • 21Fran Pérez
  • 14Carlos Martín
  • 13Augusto Batalla
  • 32Nobel Mendy

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1468 – 1502

Recent form

SevillaWLDDW
Rayo VallecanoLLWDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Rayo Vallecano35-248
2Sevilla35-1242

Head to head

  • Rayo Vallecano 0–1 Sevilla2025-09-28

Match preview

Sevilla host Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga on 8 March 2026. Sevilla sit 11th on 42 points and Rayo Vallecano are 6th on 48. Sevilla have won 2 of their last 5 (WLDDW), while Rayo Vallecano have won 2 of 5 (LLWDW). In their last 1 meetings, Sevilla won 1, Rayo Vallecano won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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