Skip
EnglishEN ▾
FTMatchday 3

Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1481 – 1517

Recent form

SevillaWWLLW
Atlético MadridLWWLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Atlético Madrid10+1225
2Sevilla9-114

Head to head

  • Sevilla 2–1 Atlético Madrid2026-04-11
  • Atlético Madrid 3–0 Sevilla2025-11-01

Match preview

Sevilla host Atlético Madrid in the La Liga on 29 August 2026. Sevilla sit 6th on 14 points and Atlético Madrid are 2nd on 25. Sevilla have won 3 of their last 5 (WWLLW), while Atlético Madrid have won 2 of 5 (LWWLD). In their last 2 meetings, Sevilla won 1, Atlético Madrid won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming