Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid: Prediction
📍 Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- -5'Antoine Griezmannyellow card
- ⚽Akor Adamspenalty10'
- Manu Buenoyellow card36'
- 44'Julio Díazyellow card
- ⚽Nemanja Gudeljassist Ruben Vargas45'
- Juanluyellow card67'
- ⇄Manu Buenoon70'
- ⇄Isaac Romeroon70'
- 71'⇄Rayane Belaidon
- 71'⇄Rodrigo Mendozaon
- 75'Álex Baenayellow card
- ⇄Ruben Vargason78'
- 86'⇄Julio Díazon
- Nemanja Gudeljyellow card88'
- Pequeyellow card90'
- ⇄Juanluon90'
- ⇄Akor Adamson90'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 32%Possession68%
- 1.85Expected goals (xG)0.84
- 11Shots13
- 2Shots on target2
- 6Corners6
- 7Fouls12
- 4Yellow cards4
- 0Red cards0
- 2Offsides1
- 1Saves0
- 253Passes558
Line-ups
Sevilla
- 1Odisseas Vlachodimos
- 11Ruben Vargas
- 18Lucien Agoumé
- 6Nemanja Gudelj
- 16Juanlu
- 4Kike Salas
- 9Akor Adams
- 28Manu Bueno
- 7Isaac Romero
- 32Andrés Castrín
- 36Oso
Atlético Madrid
- 1Juan Musso
- 9Alexander Sørloth
- 10Álex Baena
- 18Marc Pubill
- 21Obed Vargas
- 11Thiago Almada
- 4Rodrigo Mendoza
- 29Rayane Belaid
- 34Julio Díaz
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35 | +16 | 62 | |
| 2 | 35 | -12 | 42 |
Head to head
- Sevilla 1–3 Atlético Madrid2026-08-29
- Atlético Madrid 3–0 Sevilla2025-11-01
Match preview
Sevilla host Atlético Madrid in the La Liga on 11 April 2026. Sevilla sit 11th on 42 points and Atlético Madrid are 4th on 62. Sevilla have won 1 of their last 5 (WDLLL), while Atlético Madrid have won 3 of 5 (WWWLL). In their last 2 meetings, Sevilla won 0, Atlético Madrid won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

