Schalke 04 vs Köln: Prediction
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Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Schalke 04DLLDL
KölnLWLDD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Köln | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 2 | Schalke 04 | 7 | -7 | 3 |
Head to head
- Köln 0–0 Schalke 042026-10-24
Why the model leans Schalke 04
- Schalke 04 are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- Köln won 1 of their last 5.
- League table: Schalke 04 #18, Köln #13.
- Expected goals from the model: Schalke 04 1.8, Köln 1.3.
Match preview
Schalke 04 host Köln in the Bundesliga on 2 March 2027. Schalke 04 sit 18th on 3 points and Köln are 13th on 8. Schalke 04 have won 0 of their last 5 (DLLDL), while Köln have won 1 of 5 (LWLDD). In their last 1 meetings, Schalke 04 won 0, Köln won 0 and 1 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Schalke 04 50%, the draw 23% and Köln 27%, so Schalke 04 are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
