Schalke 04 vs Hoffenheim: Prediction
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Tipster consensus
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Recent form
Schalke 04DLLDL
HoffenheimLLWWL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hoffenheim | 7 | -3 | 6 |
| 2 | Schalke 04 | 7 | -7 | 3 |
Head to head
Not enough past results yet.
Why the model leans Schalke 04
- Close call: 40% Schalke 04, 24% draw, 36% Hoffenheim.
- Hoffenheim rate higher on our strength scale (1501 vs 1456).
- Schalke 04 are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- Expected goals from the model: Schalke 04 1.6, Hoffenheim 1.5.
Match preview
Schalke 04 host Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga on 13 March 2027. Schalke 04 sit 18th on 3 points and Hoffenheim are 16th on 6. Schalke 04 have won 0 of their last 5 (DLLDL), while Hoffenheim have won 2 of 5 (LLWWL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Schalke 04 40%, the draw 24% and Hoffenheim 36%, so Schalke 04 are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
