Schalke 04 vs Freiburg: Prediction
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Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Schalke 04DLLDL
FreiburgDWLLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Freiburg | 7 | +3 | 13 |
| 2 | Schalke 04 | 7 | -7 | 3 |
Head to head
- Freiburg 2–1 Schalke 042026-10-11
Why the model leans Schalke 04
- Close call: 38% Schalke 04, 24% draw, 38% Freiburg.
- Freiburg rate higher on our strength scale (1518 vs 1456).
- Schalke 04 are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- League table: Schalke 04 #18, Freiburg #4.
- Expected goals from the model: Schalke 04 1.5, Freiburg 1.6.
Match preview
Schalke 04 host Freiburg in the Bundesliga on 20 February 2027. Schalke 04 sit 18th on 3 points and Freiburg are 4th on 13. Schalke 04 have won 0 of their last 5 (DLLDL), while Freiburg have won 2 of 5 (DWLLW). In their last 1 meetings, Schalke 04 won 0, Freiburg won 1 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Schalke 04 38%, the draw 24% and Freiburg 38%, so Schalke 04 are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
