Schalke 04 vs Bayer Leverkusen: Prediction
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Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | +2 | 12 | |
| 2 | 7 | -7 | 3 |
Head to head
Not enough past results yet.
Why the model leans Bayer Leverkusen
- Bayer Leverkusen rate higher on our strength scale (1506 vs 1456).
- Bayer Leverkusen won 3 of their last 5.
- Schalke 04 won 0 of their last 5.
- League table: Schalke 04 #18, Bayer Leverkusen #7.
- Expected goals from the model: Schalke 04 1.5, Bayer Leverkusen 1.7.
Match preview
Schalke 04 host Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga on 22 May 2027. Schalke 04 sit 18th on 3 points and Bayer Leverkusen are 7th on 12. Schalke 04 have won 0 of their last 5 (DLLDL), while Bayer Leverkusen have won 3 of 5 (WWWLL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Schalke 04 34%, the draw 24% and Bayer Leverkusen 42%, so Bayer Leverkusen are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

