Schalke 04 vs Augsburg: Prediction
📍 VELTINS-Arena
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Schalke 04DLLDL
AugsburgLDLDL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Augsburg | 7 | +3 | 8 |
| 2 | Schalke 04 | 7 | -7 | 3 |
Head to head
- Augsburg 3–0 Schalke 042026-08-30
Why the model leans Schalke 04
- Augsburg rate higher on our strength scale (1487 vs 1456).
- Schalke 04 are at home, which usually adds a few points of chance.
- Augsburg won 0 of their last 5.
- League table: Schalke 04 #18, Augsburg #12.
- Expected goals from the model: Schalke 04 1.7, Augsburg 1.4.
Match preview
Schalke 04 host Augsburg in the Bundesliga on 23 January 2027. Schalke 04 sit 18th on 3 points and Augsburg are 12th on 8. Schalke 04 have won 0 of their last 5 (DLLDL), while Augsburg have won 0 of 5 (LDLDL). In their last 1 meetings, Schalke 04 won 0, Augsburg won 1 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Schalke 04 43%, the draw 24% and Augsburg 33%, so Schalke 04 are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
