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Kick-off · Matchday 6

Roma vs Sporting CP: Prediction

Roma
43%Home win
Sporting CP

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.62 – 1.39
Team rating (Elo)1508 – 1534

Recent form

RomaWWDWW
Sporting CPDWWWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Sporting CP3+36

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Roma host Sporting CP in the UEFA Champions League on 8 December 2026. Roma sit 37th on 4 points and Sporting CP are 27th on 6. Roma have won 4 of their last 5 (WWDWW), while Sporting CP have won 3 of 5 (DWWWL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Roma 43%, the draw 24% and Sporting CP 33%, so Roma are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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