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FTMatchday 1

Riga FC vs Ararat-Armenia: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
Riga FCArarat-Armenia
  1. Iago Siqueiraassist Muhammed Cray Badamosi14'
  2. Ahmed Ankrah23'
  3. 34'Edgar Grigoryanyellow card
  4. Salah Ouladyellow card41'
  5. Orlando Galoyellow card44'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1497 – 1502

Recent form

Riga FCL
Ararat-ArmeniaW
#TeamPGDPts
1Ararat-Armenia6+19
2Riga FC2-13

Head to head

  • Ararat-Armenia 2–0 Riga FC2026-07-07

Match preview

Riga FC host Ararat-Armenia in the UEFA Champions League on 14 July 2026. Riga FC sit 49th on 3 points and Ararat-Armenia are 12th on 9. Riga FC have won 0 of their last 1 (L), while Ararat-Armenia have won 1 of 1 (W). In their last 1 meetings, Riga FC won 0, Ararat-Armenia won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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