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FTMatchday 4

Rennes vs Marseille: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
RennesMarseille
  1. 33'Himad Abdelliyellow card
  2. Przemysław Frankowskiyellow card43'
  3. 43'Igor Paixãoyellow card
  4. Issa Soumaréon45'
  5. Adrien Thomasson52'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1510 – 1497

Recent form

RennesDLDWW
MarseilleLWWLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Rennes9+116
2Marseille8+512

Head to head

  • Rennes 1–0 Marseille2025-08-15

Match preview

Rennes host Marseille in the Ligue 1 on 11 September 2026. Rennes sit 3rd on 16 points and Marseille are 9th on 12. Rennes have won 2 of their last 5 (DLDWW), while Marseille have won 2 of 5 (LWWLL). In their last 1 meetings, Rennes won 1, Marseille won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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