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FTMatchday 6

Rennes vs Lens: Prediction

📍 Roazhon Park

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

0 goals
RennesLens
  1. 1'Jonathan Graditred card
  2. Djaoui Cisséon29'
  3. 40'Adrien Thomassonyellow card
  4. Breel Emboloon61'
  5. 61'Wesley Saidon
  6. 61'Odsonne Édouardon
  7. Ludovic Blason62'
  8. Mahdi Camarayellow card63'
  9. 78'Ruben Aguilaron
  10. Quentin Merlinon80'
  11. Mahamadou Nagidayellow card85'
  12. Jérémy Jacquetyellow card90'
  13. 90'Morgan Guilavoguiyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

RennesLens
  • 67%Possession33%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)1
  • 14Shots13
  • 2Shots on target2
  • 8Corners4
  • 16Fouls9
  • 3Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards1
  • 1Offsides0
  • 2Saves2
  • 526Passes255

Line-ups

Rennes

  • 30Brice Samba
  • 8Seko Fofana
  • 7Breel Embolo
  • 10Ludovic Blas
  • 45Mahdi Camara
  • 36Alidu Seidu
  • 24Anthony Rouault
  • 26Quentin Merlin
  • 97Jérémy Jacquet
  • 9Esteban Lepaul
  • 6Djaoui Cissé

Lens

  • 10Florian Thauvin
  • 22Wesley Said
  • 11Odsonne Édouard
  • 2Ruben Aguilar
  • 20Malang Sarr
  • 28Adrien Thomasson
  • 24Jonathan Gradit
  • 8Mamadou Sangaré
  • 6Samson Baidoo
  • 40Robin Risser Birckel

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1510 – 1454

Recent form

RennesWLDWD
LensLWWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Lens9+619
2Rennes9-211

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Rennes host Lens in the Ligue 1 on 28 September 2025. Rennes sit 10th on 11 points and Lens are 2nd on 19. Rennes have won 2 of their last 5 (WLDWD), while Lens have won 3 of 5 (LWWLW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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