Kick-off · Sun, 30 May, 08:30 pm ISTMatchday 38
Real Sociedad vs Villarreal: Prediction
Real Sociedad42%Home win
Villarreal42% Home win26% Draw32% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.41 – 1.20
Team rating (Elo)1519 – 1468
Recent form
Real SociedadLWWWWVillarrealLWDLW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Sociedad | 9 | +4 | 19 |
| 2 | Villarreal | 9 | +1 | 11 |
Head to head
- Villarreal 3–1 Real Sociedad2026-03-20
- Real Sociedad 2–3 Villarreal2025-11-30
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
