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FTMatchday 14

Real Sociedad vs Villarreal: Prediction

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Match events

5 goals
Real SociedadVillarreal
  1. 20'Pape Gueyeyellow card
  2. 31'Ayoze Pérezassist Alfonso Pedraza
  3. Umar Sadiqyellow card42'
  4. 45'Ayoze Pérezyellow card
  5. 49'Alberto Moleiroyellow card
  6. Umar Sadiqon56'
  7. 57'Alberto Moleiroassist Ayoze Pérez
  8. Carlos Solerassist Takefusa Kubo60'
  9. 67'Alfonso Pedrazayellow card
  10. 68'Gerard Morenoon
  11. 68'Pape Gueyeon
  12. Jon Martínyellow card69'
  13. Ander Barrenetxeayellow card70'
  14. 73'Santiago Mouriñoyellow card
  15. 74'Luiz Júnioryellow card
  16. Carlos Soleron77'
  17. Goncalo Guedeson77'
  18. 78'Alfonso Pedrazaon
  19. 79'Tajon Buchananon
  20. Brais Méndezon84'
  21. Takefusa Kuboon85'
  22. 86'Ayoze Pérezon
  23. Ander Barrenetxea87'
  24. 90'Juan Marcos Foythyellow card
  25. 90'Alberto Moleiro

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Real SociedadVillarreal
  • 60%Possession40%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)2
  • 17Shots10
  • 7Shots on target5
  • 8Corners2
  • 15Fouls18
  • 3Yellow cards7
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides0
  • 1Saves5
  • 529Passes355

Line-ups

Real Sociedad

  • 11Goncalo Guedes
  • 6Aritz Elustondo
  • 23Brais Méndez
  • 1Álex Remiro
  • 17Sergio Gómez
  • 18Carlos Soler
  • 14Takefusa Kubo
  • 15Umar Sadiq
  • 2Jon Aramburu
  • 31Jon Martín
  • 4Jon Gorrotxategi

Villarreal

  • 22Ayoze Pérez
  • 7Gerard Moreno
  • 8Juan Marcos Foyth
  • 24Alfonso Pedraza
  • 17Tajon Buchanan
  • 18Pape Gueye
  • 14Santi Comesaña
  • 1Luiz Júnior
  • 20Alberto Moleiro
  • 15Santiago Mouriño
  • 4Rafa Marín

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1510 – 1450

Recent form

Real SociedadLDWWD
VillarrealWWLWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Villarreal35+2366
2Real Sociedad35-539

Head to head

  • Villarreal 3–1 Real Sociedad2026-03-20

Match preview

Real Sociedad host Villarreal in the La Liga on 30 November 2025. Real Sociedad sit 18th on 39 points and Villarreal are 3rd on 66. Real Sociedad have won 2 of their last 5 (LDWWD), while Villarreal have won 3 of 5 (WWLWL). In their last 1 meetings, Real Sociedad won 0, Villarreal won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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