Real Sociedad vs Valencia: Prediction
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Match events
7 goals- ⚽Aihen Muñozassist Aritz Elustondo3'
- 8'⚽Javi Guerraassist Diego López
- 22'⚽Hugo Duroassist Eray Cömert
- Arsen Zakharyanyellow card25'
- ⇄Brais Méndezon57'
- ⇄Arsen Zakharyanon57'
- ⇄Aihen Muñozon57'
- ⚽César Tárrega Requeniown goal60'
- ⚽Orri Óskarssonassist Mikel Oyarzabal63'
- 70'Eray Cömertred card
- 73'⇄Hugo Duroon
- 73'⇄Filip Ugrinicon
- 74'⇄Diego Lópezon
- 74'⇄Luis Riojaon
- ⇄Orri Óskarssonon79'
- 83'⇄Unai Núñezon
- ⇄Aritz Elustondoon84'
- Beñat Turrientesyellow card86'
- Jon Martínyellow card88'
- Igor Zubeldiayellow card88'
- 89'⚽Guido Rodríguezassist André Almeida
- 90'⚽Javi Guerraassist Thierry Correia
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 55%Possession45%
- 1.14Expected goals (xG)1.61
- 8Shots13
- 3Shots on target6
- 3Corners2
- 13Fouls11
- 4Yellow cards0
- 0Red cards1
- 5Offsides3
- 2Saves1
- 491Passes412
Line-ups
Real Sociedad
- 6Aritz Elustondo
- 5Igor Zubeldia
- 23Brais Méndez
- 1Álex Remiro
- 18Carlos Soler
- 3Aihen Muñoz
- 21Arsen Zakharyan
- 8Beñat Turrientes
- 15Pablo Marín
- 9Orri Óskarsson
- 31Jon Martín
Valencia
- 1Stole Dimitrievski
- 4Unai Núñez
- 11Luis Rioja
- 23Filip Ugrinic
- 2Guido Rodríguez
- 9Hugo Duro
- 24Eray Cömert
- 21Jesús Vázquez
- 16Diego López
- 8Javi Guerra
- 5César Tárrega Requeni
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Real SociedadLDLDD
ValenciaDWLWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Valencia | 35 | -10 | 43 |
| 2 | Real Sociedad | 35 | -5 | 39 |
Head to head
- Valencia 2–3 Real Sociedad2026-09-20
- Valencia 1–1 Real Sociedad2025-08-16
Match preview
Real Sociedad host Valencia in the La Liga on 17 May 2026. Real Sociedad sit 18th on 39 points and Valencia are 10th on 43. Real Sociedad have won 0 of their last 5 (LDLDD), while Valencia have won 2 of 5 (DWLWD). In their last 2 meetings, Real Sociedad won 1, Valencia won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
