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Kick-off · Matchday 14

Real Sociedad vs Sevilla: Prediction

Real Sociedad
51%Home win
Sevilla

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.62 – 1.04
Team rating (Elo)1519 – 1481

Recent form

Real SociedadLWWWW
SevillaWLDLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Real Sociedad9+419
2Sevilla9-114

Head to head

  • Sevilla 1–0 Real Sociedad2026-05-04
  • Real Sociedad 2–1 Sevilla2025-10-24

Match preview

Real Sociedad host Sevilla in the La Liga on 29 November 2026. Real Sociedad sit 5th on 19 points and Sevilla are 6th on 14. Real Sociedad have won 4 of their last 5 (LWWWW), while Sevilla have won 2 of 5 (WLDLW). In their last 2 meetings, Real Sociedad won 1, Sevilla won 1 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Real Sociedad 51%, the draw 25% and Sevilla 24%, so Real Sociedad are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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