Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid: Prediction
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Match events
3 goals- Igor Zubeldiayellow card6'
- 12'⚽Kylian Mbappé
- 32'Dean Huijsenred card
- 44'⚽Arda Gülerassist Kylian Mbappé
- Ander Barrenetxeayellow card45'
- 46'⇄Brahimon
- ⚽Mikel Oyarzabalpenalty56'
- ⇄Aritz Elustondoon57'
- 62'Kylian Mbappéyellow card
- ⇄Goncalo Guedeson66'
- ⇄Pablo Marínon66'
- 68'⇄Daniel Ceballoson
- 68'⇄Vinícius Júnioron
- ⇄Jon Gorrotxategion78'
- 82'⇄Daniel Carvajalon
- 88'⇄Arda Güleron
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 64%Possession36%
- 3Expected goals (xG)2
- 23Shots16
- 4Shots on target6
- 12Corners4
- 17Fouls7
- 2Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards1
- 0Offsides2
- 4Saves3
- 522Passes314
Line-ups
Real Sociedad
- 11Goncalo Guedes
- 6Aritz Elustondo
- 5Igor Zubeldia
- 10Mikel Oyarzabal
- 1Álex Remiro
- 17Sergio Gómez
- 7Ander Barrenetxea
- 16Duje Ćaleta-Car
- 28Pablo Marín
- 4Jon Gorrotxategi
Real Madrid
- 1Thibaut Courtois
- 2Daniel Carvajal
- 19Daniel Ceballos
- 7Vinícius Júnior
- 21Brahim
- 10Kylian Mbappé
- 3Éder Militão
- 14Aurelien Tchouameni
- 15Arda Güler
- 18Álvaro Carreras
- 24Dean Huijsen
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Real SociedadDL
Real MadridWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 35 | +40 | 82 |
| 2 | Real Sociedad | 35 | -5 | 39 |
Head to head
- Real Madrid 4–1 Real Sociedad2026-02-14
Match preview
Real Sociedad host Real Madrid in the La Liga on 13 September 2025. Real Sociedad sit 18th on 39 points and Real Madrid are 2nd on 82. Real Sociedad have won 0 of their last 2 (DL), while Real Madrid have won 2 of 2 (WW). In their last 1 meetings, Real Sociedad won 0, Real Madrid won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
