Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano: Prediction
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Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- 46'⇄Alvaro Garciaon
- Carlos Soleryellow card60'
- ⇄Carlos Soleron61'
- ⇄Goncalo Guedeson61'
- 62'Isi Palazónyellow card
- 65'⇄Isi Palazónon
- 71'⇄Pathé Cisson
- 77'⇄Alemãoon
- 77'⇄Jorge de Frutoson
- ⇄Ander Barrenetxeaon80'
- ⇄Brais Méndezon80'
- 84'⚽Alfonso Espinoassist Andrei Rațiu
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Match stats
- 50%Possession50%
- 1Expected goals (xG)1
- 9Shots7
- 2Shots on target2
- 7Corners5
- 12Fouls19
- 1Yellow cards1
- 0Red cards0
- 0Offsides1
- 1Saves2
- 379Passes392
Line-ups
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
- 17Unai Lopez
- 18Alvaro Garcia
- 24Florian Lejeune
- 19Jorge de Frutos
- 2Andrei Rațiu
- 7Isi Palazón
- 23Óscar Valentín
- 3Pep Chavarría
- 6Pathé Ciss
- 9Alemão
- 13Augusto Batalla
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Real SociedadLLLWL
Rayo VallecanoDLDLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | -2 | 48 |
| 2 | Real Sociedad | 35 | -5 | 39 |
Head to head
- Rayo Vallecano 3–3 Real Sociedad2026-04-26
Match preview
Real Sociedad host Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga on 5 October 2025. Real Sociedad sit 18th on 39 points and Rayo Vallecano are 6th on 48. Real Sociedad have won 1 of their last 5 (LLLWL), while Rayo Vallecano have won 0 of 5 (DLDLL). In their last 1 meetings, Real Sociedad won 0, Rayo Vallecano won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
