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FTMatchday 28

Real Sociedad vs Osasuna: Prediction

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Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
Real SociedadOsasuna
  1. Mikel Oyarzabalpenalty24'
  2. Goncalo Guedesassist Beñat Turrientes28'
  3. 46'Lucas Torróon
  4. 46'Raul Moroon
  5. Goncalo Guedesassist Beñat Turrientes52'
  6. 58'Alejandro Catenaon
  7. Beñat Turrientesyellow card59'
  8. Goncalo Guedeson63'
  9. Beñat Turrienteson63'
  10. Brais Méndezon63'
  11. Brais Méndezyellow card66'
  12. Yangel Herreraon69'
  13. 74'Aimar Orozon
  14. 77'Víctor Muñozassist Kike Barja
  15. Orri Óskarssonyellow card78'
  16. Igor Zubeldiayellow card82'
  17. Ander Barrenetxeaon84'
  18. 84'Jon Moncayolaon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Real SociedadOsasuna
  • 49%Possession51%
  • 1.97Expected goals (xG)0.46
  • 15Shots12
  • 6Shots on target5
  • 3Corners5
  • 16Fouls11
  • 3Yellow cards0
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides0
  • 3Saves3
  • 443Passes455

Line-ups

Real Sociedad

  • 11Goncalo Guedes
  • 5Igor Zubeldia
  • 10Mikel Oyarzabal
  • 23Brais Méndez
  • 1Álex Remiro
  • 17Sergio Gómez
  • 18Carlos Soler
  • 7Ander Barrenetxea
  • 16Duje Ćaleta-Car
  • 8Beñat Turrientes
  • 2Jon Aramburu

Osasuna

  • 6Lucas Torró
  • 20Javi Galán
  • 17Ante Budimir
  • 1Sergio Herrera
  • 7Jon Moncayola
  • 24Alejandro Catena
  • 19Valentin Rosier
  • 18Raul Moro
  • 10Aimar Oroz
  • 22Flavien Enzo Boyomo
  • 21Víctor Muñoz

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1510 – 1425

Recent form

Real SociedadDWLDL
OsasunaDWDWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Osasuna35-439
2Real Sociedad35-539

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Real Sociedad host Osasuna in the La Liga on 15 March 2026. Real Sociedad sit 18th on 39 points and Osasuna are 17th on 39. Real Sociedad have won 1 of their last 5 (DWLDL), while Osasuna have won 2 of 5 (DWDWD). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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