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FTMatchday 23

Real Sociedad vs Elche: Prediction

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Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
Real SociedadElche
  1. 7'David Affengruberyellow card
  2. Luka Sučićassist Goncalo Guedes24'
  3. Luka Sučićon29'
  4. Mikel Oyarzabal37'
  5. 42'André Silva
  6. 45'Aleix Febasyellow card
  7. 55'Martim Carvalho Netoon
  8. 55'John Donaldon
  9. 65'Grady Dianganayellow card
  10. Álvaro Odriozolaon65'
  11. Goncalo Guedeson65'
  12. 72'Víctor Chuston
  13. 73'Léo Pétroton
  14. 79'Grady Dianganaon
  15. Mikel Oyarzabalon82'
  16. Carlos Soleron82'
  17. 87'Gonzalo Villaryellow card
  18. Orri Óskarssonassist Jon Gorrotxategi89'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Real SociedadElche
  • 34%Possession66%
  • 2.37Expected goals (xG)1.18
  • 11Shots11
  • 3Shots on target5
  • 2Corners4
  • 14Fouls8
  • 0Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides0
  • 4Saves0
  • 295Passes592

Line-ups

Real Sociedad

  • 11Goncalo Guedes
  • 5Igor Zubeldia
  • 10Mikel Oyarzabal
  • 20Álvaro Odriozola
  • 1Álex Remiro
  • 17Sergio Gómez
  • 18Carlos Soler
  • 16Duje Ćaleta-Car
  • 24Luka Sučić
  • 15Pablo Marín
  • 4Jon Gorrotxategi

Elche

  • 9André Silva
  • 19Grady Diangana
  • 18John Donald
  • 14Aleix Febas
  • 23Víctor Chust
  • 22David Affengruber
  • 21Léo Pétrot
  • 11Germán Valera
  • 13Iñaki Peña
  • 20Álvaro Rodríguez
  • 16Martim Carvalho Neto

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1510 – 1468

Recent form

Real SociedadDWWWD
ElcheLDDLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Elche35-840
2Real Sociedad35-539

Head to head

  • Elche 2–3 Real Sociedad2026-09-07
  • Elche 1–1 Real Sociedad2025-11-07

Match preview

Real Sociedad host Elche in the La Liga on 7 February 2026. Real Sociedad sit 18th on 39 points and Elche are 15th on 40. Real Sociedad have won 3 of their last 5 (DWWWD), while Elche have won 0 of 5 (LDDLL). In their last 2 meetings, Real Sociedad won 1, Elche won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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