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FTMatchday 31

Real Sociedad vs Deportivo Alavés: Prediction

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Not enough past results yet.

Match events

6 goals
Real SociedadDeportivo Alavés
  1. 3'Duje Ćaleta-Carown goal
  2. Luka Sučićassist Ander Barrenetxea14'
  3. 24'Ibrahim Diabate
  4. Antonio Siveraown goal27'
  5. Ander Barrenetxeaon46'
  6. Brais Méndezon54'
  7. 59'Abde Rebbachyellow card
  8. 60'Ibrahim Diabateon
  9. Orri Óskarssonassist Takefusa Kubo60'
  10. Takefusa Kuboyellow card64'
  11. 66'Jon Guridion
  12. 66'Pablo Ibáñezon
  13. Orri Óskarssonon72'
  14. Luka Sučićon86'
  15. Aritz Elustondoon86'
  16. Goncalo Guedesyellow card90'
  17. Sergio Gómezred card90'
  18. 90'Denis Suárezyellow card
  19. 90'Lucas Boyéassist Denis Suárez

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Real SociedadDeportivo Alavés
  • 54%Possession46%
  • 0.94Expected goals (xG)1.13
  • 12Shots12
  • 4Shots on target2
  • 9Corners5
  • 11Fouls18
  • 2Yellow cards4
  • 1Red cards0
  • 1Offsides1
  • 0Saves2
  • 507Passes426

Line-ups

Real Sociedad

  • 6Aritz Elustondo
  • 23Brais Méndez
  • 1Álex Remiro
  • 17Sergio Gómez
  • 18Carlos Soler
  • 7Ander Barrenetxea
  • 16Duje Ćaleta-Car
  • 24Luka Sučić
  • 8Beñat Turrientes
  • 9Orri Óskarsson
  • 2Jon Aramburu

Deportivo Alavés

  • 11Toni Martínez
  • 18Jon Guridi
  • 1Antonio Sivera
  • 17Jonathan Otto
  • 8Antonio Blanco
  • 14Nahuel Tenaglia
  • 19Pablo Ibáñez
  • 22Ibrahim Diabate
  • 24Víctor Parada
  • 21Abde Rebbach

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1510 – 1462

Recent form

Real SociedadDLWLW
Deportivo AlavésDLDWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Deportivo Alavés35-843
2Real Sociedad35-539

Head to head

  • Deportivo Alavés 1–0 Real Sociedad2025-12-06

Match preview

Real Sociedad host Deportivo Alavés in the La Liga on 11 April 2026. Real Sociedad sit 18th on 39 points and Deportivo Alavés are 9th on 43. Real Sociedad have won 2 of their last 5 (DLWLW), while Deportivo Alavés have won 1 of 5 (DLDWD). In their last 1 meetings, Real Sociedad won 0, Deportivo Alavés won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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