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FTMatchday 21

Real Sociedad vs Celta Vigo: Prediction

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Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
Real SociedadCelta Vigo
  1. Luka Sučićyellow card16'
  2. Mikel Oyarzabalassist Beñat Turrientes17'
  3. Duje Ćaleta-Carred card45'
  4. 45'Bryan Zaragozayellow card
  5. Ander Barrenetxeaon46'
  6. Beñat Turrienteson46'
  7. 46'Manu Fernándezon
  8. 56'Pablo Duránon
  9. 56'Ilaix Moribaon
  10. Goncalo Guedeson70'
  11. 72'Borja Iglesias
  12. Mikel Oyarzabalassist Jon Gorrotxategi75'
  13. 76'Hugo Soteloon
  14. 76'Sergio Carreiraon
  15. Luka Sučićon81'
  16. Mikel Oyarzabalon86'
  17. Brais Méndezpenalty90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Real SociedadCelta Vigo
  • 36%Possession64%
  • 1.61Expected goals (xG)1.60
  • 10Shots17
  • 4Shots on target4
  • 2Corners9
  • 7Fouls13
  • 1Yellow cards1
  • 1Red cards0
  • 2Offsides2
  • 2Saves1
  • 350Passes622

Line-ups

Real Sociedad

  • 11Goncalo Guedes
  • 10Mikel Oyarzabal
  • 1Álex Remiro
  • 3Aihen Muñoz
  • 7Ander Barrenetxea
  • 16Duje Ćaleta-Car
  • 24Luka Sučić
  • 8Beñat Turrientes
  • 2Jon Aramburu
  • 31Jon Martín
  • 4Jon Gorrotxategi

Celta Vigo

  • 20Marcos Alonso
  • 13Ionuț Radu
  • 5Sergio Carreira
  • 6Ilaix Moriba
  • 2Carl Starfelt
  • 22Hugo Sotelo
  • 15Bryan Zaragoza
  • 23Hugo Álvarez
  • 39Jones El-Abdellaoui
  • 18Pablo Durán
  • 12Manu Fernández

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1510 – 1492

Recent form

Real SociedadLDDWW
Celta VigoWDWWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Celta Vigo35+347
2Real Sociedad35-539

Head to head

  • Real Sociedad 0–0 Celta Vigo2026-09-03
  • Celta Vigo 1–1 Real Sociedad2025-10-19

Match preview

Real Sociedad host Celta Vigo in the La Liga on 25 January 2026. Real Sociedad sit 18th on 39 points and Celta Vigo are 7th on 47. Real Sociedad have won 2 of their last 5 (LDDWW), while Celta Vigo have won 4 of 5 (WDWWW). In their last 2 meetings, Real Sociedad won 0, Celta Vigo won 0 and 2 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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