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FTMatchday 20

Real Sociedad vs Barcelona: Prediction

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Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
Real SociedadBarcelona
  1. Mikel Oyarzabalassist Goncalo Guedes32'
  2. Beñat Turrientesyellow card37'
  3. Jon Aramburuyellow card51'
  4. Beñat Turrienteson58'
  5. Brais Méndezon58'
  6. 62'Alejandro Baldeon
  7. 62'Ferran Torreson
  8. 63'Dani Olmoon
  9. Sergio Gómezon69'
  10. Takefusa Kuboon69'
  11. 70'Marcus Rashfordassist Lamine Yamal
  12. Goncalo Guedesassist Carlos Soler71'
  13. 76'Eric Garcíayellow card
  14. Igor Zubeldiayellow card78'
  15. Jon Aramburuon82'
  16. 83'Robert Lewandowskiyellow card
  17. 85'Fermínyellow card
  18. 85'Jules Koundéon
  19. 86'Pau Cubarsíon
  20. Carlos Solerred card88'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Real SociedadBarcelona
  • 27%Possession73%
  • 1.01Expected goals (xG)3.69
  • 7Shots25
  • 6Shots on target9
  • 6Corners8
  • 13Fouls8
  • 3Yellow cards3
  • 1Red cards0
  • 4Offsides3
  • 8Saves3
  • 221Passes608

Line-ups

Real Sociedad

  • 11Goncalo Guedes
  • 5Igor Zubeldia
  • 10Mikel Oyarzabal
  • 23Brais Méndez
  • 1Álex Remiro
  • 17Sergio Gómez
  • 18Carlos Soler
  • 14Takefusa Kubo
  • 8Beñat Turrientes
  • 2Jon Aramburu
  • 31Jon Martín

Barcelona

  • 7Ferran Torres
  • 23Jules Koundé
  • 21Frenkie de Jong
  • 20Dani Olmo
  • 24Eric García
  • 8Pedri
  • 3Alejandro Balde
  • 13Joan García
  • 10Lamine Yamal
  • 16Fermín
  • 5Pau Cubarsí

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1510 – 1540

Recent form

Real SociedadLLDDW
BarcelonaWWWWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Barcelona35+5185
2Real Sociedad35-539

Head to head

  • Barcelona 2–1 Real Sociedad2025-09-28

Match preview

Real Sociedad host Barcelona in the La Liga on 18 January 2026. Real Sociedad sit 18th on 39 points and Barcelona are 1st on 85. Real Sociedad have won 1 of their last 5 (LLDDW), while Barcelona have won 5 of 5 (WWWWW). In their last 1 meetings, Real Sociedad won 0, Barcelona won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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